Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.385788 0.425385 0.467825 0.516778 0.571793 0.631832 0.702475
2025-07-13 0.324987 0.380507 0.444310 0.523431 0.619429 0.732780 0.877711
2025-07-20 0.289777 0.353185 0.429563 0.529105 0.656523 0.815652 1.031782
2025-07-27 0.264510 0.332901 0.418461 0.534576 0.689922 0.893251 1.183967
2025-08-03 0.243654 0.315065 0.407316 0.536934 0.717111 0.962847 1.330604
2025-08-10 0.227585 0.301421 0.399565 0.541826 0.746558 1.036507 1.489191
2025-08-17 0.208481 0.281753 0.381530 0.530056 0.750286 1.072567 1.594803
2025-08-24 0.197724 0.272540 0.376862 0.536288 0.779815 1.148105 1.767862
2025-08-31 0.185545 0.260241 0.366605 0.532999 0.794051 1.200778 1.909264
2025-09-07 0.176279 0.251385 0.360500 0.535094 0.816199 1.267113 2.079809
2025-09-14 0.165480 0.239458 0.348857 0.527447 0.821723 1.306305 2.207155
2025-09-21 0.156409 0.229503 0.339437 0.522385 0.830658 1.351393 2.349303
2025-09-28 0.144109 0.214008 0.320683 0.501201 0.811383 1.347218 2.402081
2025-10-05 0.139016 0.209425 0.318782 0.507600 0.839816 1.429619 2.629804
2025-10-12 0.134154 0.204864 0.316529 0.513076 0.866842 1.511731 2.867098
2025-10-19 0.129637 0.200550 0.314335 0.518354 0.893746 1.595930 3.119372
2025-10-26 0.124888 0.195554 0.310646 0.520629 0.915119 1.671348 3.362852
2025-11-02 0.120931 0.191625 0.308467 0.525348 0.941334 1.758622 3.643948
2025-11-09 0.114456 0.183102 0.297908 0.513993 0.935480 1.780356 3.779351
2025-11-16 0.111347 0.180137 0.296794 0.520005 0.964179 1.876136 4.100738
2025-11-23 0.106962 0.174730 0.291051 0.516832 0.974054 1.932840 4.335953
2025-11-30 0.103667 0.171048 0.288153 0.518853 0.994619 2.014579 4.645118
2025-12-07 0.099179 0.165034 0.280703 0.511476 0.994865 2.051068 4.843412